| 人工神经网络方法在降水量级中期预报中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 施丹平.人工神经网络方法在降水量级中期预报中的应用[J].气象,2001,27(6):40-42. |
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| 作者姓名： | 施丹平 |
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| 作者单位： | 江苏省苏州市气象局, |
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| 摘 要： | 将人工神经网络方法与统计方法相结合，采用分步预报的方法，首先用经验统计方法进行晴雨预测，再用BP人工经网络建立降水量级预报模型，探讨神经网络方法在中期降水预报的应用，试验表明，神经网络方法能提高中到大雨降水量级的中期预报能力，但对暴雨的预报不理想。
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| 关 键 词： | 人工神经网络 降水量级 中期预报 经验统计 分步预报 |
An Application of Artificial Neural Network(ANN) to Rainfall Mid-range Forecasting |
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| Shi Danping.An Application of Artificial Neural Network(ANN) to Rainfall Mid-range Forecasting[J].Meteorological Monthly,2001,27(6):40-42. |
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| Authors: | Shi Danping |
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| Abstract: | The application of artificial neural network to rainfall mid range forecasting was discussed by combining it with statistics means. The statistics means was used to forecast rain or not. Then ANN was used to develop rainfall forecast model. Studies suggest that ANN is an effectual way to improve rainfall forecast, but it was unfavorable for heavy rain forecast. |
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| Keywords: | artificial neural network rainfall mid range forecasting |
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