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淮北地区冬小麦白粉病发生程度的预测方法
引用本文:祁宦.淮北地区冬小麦白粉病发生程度的预测方法[J].气象,1994,20(2):40-43.
作者姓名:祁宦
作者单位:安徽宿县行署气象局
摘    要:分析表明,冬小麦白粉病发生程度的轻重,取决于法地小麦孕穗期前后的光照,降水量,雨日数和日平均相对湿度等气候因素。利用多因子综合相关法,通过计算条件频率,得出淮北地区冬小麦白粉病发病程度的预报方程,其历史拟合率达91.7%。

关 键 词:冬小麦  白粉病  发生程度  预测

Forecasting of Powdery mildew of Winter Wheat in the Huaibei Area
Qi Huan.Forecasting of Powdery mildew of Winter Wheat in the Huaibei Area[J].Meteorological Monthly,1994,20(2):40-43.
Authors:Qi Huan
Abstract:Analysis shows the seriousness of the powdery mildew of winter wheat in the Huaibei area,Anhui Province, depends on some climatic factors, such as sunshine-hour, precipitation, rainy day,and daily mean relative humidity,etc., A equation for forecasting how serious powdery mildew of winter wheat is obtained with multiple correlation analysis and its historical fitting probability is 91.7%.
Keywords:powdery mildew multiple correlation analysis condional probability
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