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用多普勒雷达对三次强对流天气的短时预报对比分析
引用本文:吕江津,刘一玮,王彦.用多普勒雷达对三次强对流天气的短时预报对比分析[J].气象,2009,35(1):48-54.
作者姓名:吕江津  刘一玮  王彦
作者单位:天津市气象台,300074
摘    要:利用2006年6月12日夜间、7月12日凌晨和7月12日夜间天津地区3次强对流降水过程的多普勒雷达产品资料,对比分析发现:在降水的开始和成熟阶段,多普勒雷达径向速度场的变化一般先于回波强度场的变化,在做降水短时预报时应重点关注多普勒雷达径向速度场的变化,同时还可参考Auto-nowcaster系统的预报结果,通过判断未来雷达回波的强度变化及移动方向,提高对强对流降水过程的短时预报准确率.

关 键 词:多普勒雷达  强对流  短时预报
收稿时间:2/3/2008 12:00:00 AM
修稿时间:2008/3/17 0:00:00

Comparative Analysis on Short-time Forecast of Three Strong Convection Weather Processes by Doppler Weather Radar
Lv Jiangjin,Liu Yiwei and Wang Yan.Comparative Analysis on Short-time Forecast of Three Strong Convection Weather Processes by Doppler Weather Radar[J].Meteorological Monthly,2009,35(1):48-54.
Authors:Lv Jiangjin  Liu Yiwei and Wang Yan
Institution:Tianjin Meteorological Bureau;300074
Abstract:A comparative analysis is made with the application of the Doppler weather radar data of three strong convection precipitations at the night of June 12,in the wee hours and night of Ju- ly 12,2006 in Tianjin region.The results show that the change of the radial velocity field often precedes that of echo intensity field of Doppler weather radar during the beginning and mature stage of precipitation.It indicates that the effort on the short-time forecast of precipitation should be focused on the change of rad...
Keywords:Doppler radar  strong convection  short-time forecast  
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