| 一种夏季大范围降水趋势分布的预报方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 魏凤英,张先恭.一种夏季大范围降水趋势分布的预报方法[J].气象,1995,21(12):25-28. |
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| 作者姓名： | 魏凤英 张先恭 |
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| 作者单位： | 中国气象科学研究院 |
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| 基金项目： | 《长期天气预报理论和方法研究》项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 综合考虑了影响夏季降水异常的大气、海洋因子和降水变化规律，提出了一种大范围降水异常分布的统计预报方法。用１９９１－１９９４年的独立资料检验，取得了满意效果。
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| 关 键 词： | 降水趋势预报 EOF分析 统计预报法 |
A Method for Seasonal Forecasting of Precipitation Anomaly Distribution in Summer over China |
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| Wei Fengying, Zhang Xiangong.A Method for Seasonal Forecasting of Precipitation Anomaly Distribution in Summer over China[J].Meteorological Monthly,1995,21(12):25-28. |
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| Authors: | Wei Fengying Zhang Xiangong |
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| Abstract: | skillfull scheme,with which atmospheric and oceanic elements are selected and periodic series of the rainfall are taken as predictors too.is suggested for seasonal forecast of rainfall in summer over China. The test results for an independent sample of 1991-1994 are satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | recipitation trend forecasting EOF analysis statistical forecast method |
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