| 新疆巴州地区夏季降水的变化特征及其预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 茹仙古丽·克里木,魏凤英.新疆巴州地区夏季降水的变化特征及其预测[J].气象,2004,30(7):27-30. |
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| 作者姓名： | 茹仙古丽·克里木 魏凤英 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 新疆巴州气象局,库尔勒,841000
2. 中国气象科学研究院 |
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| 摘 要： | 使用统计方法对新疆巴州地区夏季降水的空间分布和时间演变特征进行了分析。结果表明 :( 1 )巴州夏季降水主要存在两种空间分布型式 ;( 2 )近 4 0年巴州夏季降水呈增加趋势 ;( 3)巴州夏季降水存在明显的 5年和 2年周期变化。最后 ,建立了夏季降水的预报方程并进行了预测试验
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| 关 键 词： | 夏季降水 时空分布 预测 |
Features of Spatial-temporal Variation of Precipitation in Summer over Bayinguoleng,Xinjiang and Its Prediction |
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| Ruxianguli Kelimu.Features of Spatial-temporal Variation of Precipitation in Summer over Bayinguoleng,Xinjiang and Its Prediction[J].Meteorological Monthly,2004,30(7):27-30. |
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| Authors: | Ruxianguli Kelimu |
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| Abstract: | An analysis of spatial-temporal variation of precipitation in summer over Bayinguoleng, Xinjiang is made. The results show that (1) there are two basic distribution patterns over Bayinguoleng; (2) the summer rainfall has an increasing trend for the last 40 years and (3) there are the periods of about 5- and 2- year in the series of precipitation. Finally, a equation for summer rainfall forecast is developed. |
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| Keywords: | summer precipitation spatial-temporal distribution prediction |
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