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温带气旋爆发性发展的中期背景及预报
引用本文:李晓东,马德贞.温带气旋爆发性发展的中期背景及预报[J].气象,1993,19(5):34-38.
作者姓名:李晓东  马德贞
作者单位:国家气象中心,国家气象中心 北京 100081,北京 100081
摘    要:在研究了冬季(11—1月)西北太平洋温带气旋爆发性发展前5天,对流层中高层超长波及长波配置及西风急流、动量输送等物理量特征的基础上,综合出气旋爆发性发展的中期预报着眼点,应用数值预报产品可有效地延长预报时效。

关 键 词:超长波  急流  温带气旋  中期预报  爆发性发展

On the Background Situation and Midium-RangeForecasting of the Explosively Developing Cyclonesover the Temperate Zone
Li Xiaodong Ma Dezhen.On the Background Situation and Midium-RangeForecasting of the Explosively Developing Cyclonesover the Temperate Zone[J].Meteorological Monthly,1993,19(5):34-38.
Authors:Li Xiaodong Ma Dezhen
Abstract:Based on the analysis of the Features with the physical quantities of the relative parameters 5 days before the explosive development of the cyclones over the Northwest Pacific in winters during 1975-1988,it is found out that the locations of the explosive cyclones are related with the disposal of the ultra-long wave,long wave and the location of the westerly jet center in the middle-up troposphere. The studies lay a solid foundation to improve the medium-range forecasting. The forecasting rangs can be extented longer with NWP products.
Keywords:ultra-long wave westerly jet temperate zone cyclones explosive development  
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