| 提高冬春月降水量预测质量方法的探讨 |
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| 引用本文： | 李承宏,周佑云.提高冬春月降水量预测质量方法的探讨[J].气象,2005,31(3):45-47. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李承宏 周佑云 |
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| 作者单位： | 湖南省郴州市气象台,423000 |
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| 摘 要： | 月降水量预测是短期气候预测的业务之一，提高预测质量对防灾抗灾具有重要意义。运用数理统计原理，在因子选择标准和在各种资料中提取因子方面作了些探索，月降水量预测质量有了较大提高。
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| 关 键 词： | 月降水量 短期气候预测 滑动相关系数 因子选择 质量评价 |
Research on Improvement Quality of Monthly Rainfall Forecast |
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| Li Chenghong,Zhou Youyun.Research on Improvement Quality of Monthly Rainfall Forecast[J].Meteorological Monthly,2005,31(3):45-47. |
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| Authors: | Li Chenghong Zhou Youyun |
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| Abstract: | Monthly rainfall forecast is one of the short-term climate prediction operations, It is important for disaster prevention to improve the quality of forecast. By using statistic principles, some improvement on factors selection standard and factors pick-up from data have been made, to improve monthly rainfall forecast greatly. |
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| Keywords: | monthly rainfall regression moving correlation factors selection |
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