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长春市空气污染潜势预报的统计模型研究
引用本文:刘实,王宁,朱其文,王新国,胡中明,陈长胜.长春市空气污染潜势预报的统计模型研究[J].气象,2002,28(1):8-12.
作者姓名:刘实  王宁  朱其文  王新国  胡中明  陈长胜
作者单位:吉林省气象台,长春,130062
基金项目:吉林省气象局“长春市空气污染气象条件预报方法的研究”课题的资助
摘    要:通过分析TSP污染指数与气象条件的关系,特别是一些非线性关系,建立了长春市空气污染潜势预报统计模型,借助T106及日本数值预报产品进行试报,效果较为理想。

关 键 词:空气污染潜势预报  长春市  统计模型  非线性  气象条件  总悬浮颗粒物  数值预报

Statistical Models for Air Pollution Potential Forecasting in Changchun City
Liu Shi,Wang Ning,Zhu Qiwen,Wang Xinguo,Hu Zhongming,Chen Changsheng.Statistical Models for Air Pollution Potential Forecasting in Changchun City[J].Meteorological Monthly,2002,28(1):8-12.
Authors:Liu Shi  Wang Ning  Zhu Qiwen  Wang Xinguo  Hu Zhongming  Chen Changsheng
Abstract:By analyzing the relationship between the air pollution index of TSP and meteorological condition over Changchun city, including nonlinear correlation,the statistical models for air pollution potential forecasting were developed These models were used based on some numerical weather prediction products such as T106 etc ,and the forecasting effect was satisfactory
Keywords:air pollution potential forecasting  statistical model  nonlinearity  TSP  
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