使用单部雷达探测资料进行甚短期降水预报

在统计分析合肥地区降水和强降水回波特征的基础上,提出并讨论了使用单部雷达探测资料进行测站降水甚短期预报的方法和能力。初步结果表明,该方法有一定的预报准确率,若综合考虑天气形势和卫星等其它探测资料,预报准确率会进一步提高。

Very short-range precipitation forecasting using single radar echo data

In this paper the echo characteristics of rain and heavy rain in Hefei area are analysed. The method, using single radar echo data to produce very short" range precipitation forecasting, and its skill are presented and discussed. The preliminary results show the method has somewhat skill and can be improved if other data would be incorporated.