| 热带气旋路径预报的动态集成方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 王德隽,史久恩,吕玉芳.热带气旋路径预报的动态集成方法[J].热带气象学报,1996,12(3):280-284. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王德隽 史久恩 吕玉芳 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]苏州市气象局 [2]北京气象学院 |
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| 摘 要： | 用模糊贴近度的判据，对若干个热带气旋路径的客观预报方法建立动态的集成方案。经过２年的预报试验，表明它的总体预报水平较好，适合于台站的业务应用。
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊贴近度 热带气旋 集成预报 路径 |
| 收稿时间： | 1995/3/14 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1995/8/16 0:00:00 |
A DYNAMIC COMPOSITE METHOD OF TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTS |
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| Wang Dejun,Shi Jiuen and L&#; Yufang.A DYNAMIC COMPOSITE METHOD OF TROPICAL CYCLONE TRACK FORECASTS[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,1996,12(3):280-284. |
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| Authors: | Wang Dejun Shi Jiuen and L&#; Yufang |
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| Institution: | Suzhou Meteorological Service, Suzhou, 215001;Beijing Institute of Meteorology;Suzhou Meteorological Service |
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| Abstract: | By using criteria of fuzzy enartude, a scheme of dynamic composition is established for some objective forecast methods for tropical cyclone track.Through tests in two years,the results indicate that the final combined forecast has good effects on the pre |
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| Keywords: | Fuzzy enartude Tropical cyclone Composite forecast |
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