| 基于小波分解的西太平洋副热带高压模糊推理预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 董兆俊,张韧.基于小波分解的西太平洋副热带高压模糊推理预测[J].热带气象学报,2004,20(4):419-425. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 董兆俊 张韧 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 解放军理工大学气象学院海洋气象教研室,江苏,南京,211101 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 基于NCEP/NCAR再分析资料,讨论了西太平洋副高脊线与其前期位置的相互关系,并在此基础上用小波分解和自适应模糊推理方法,对副高脊线进行集成建模和预测.基于小波分解重构的副高脊线短期活动集成预测结果表明,该方法可有效降低预报难度,明显改进和提高了副高脊线短期活动的预报准确率.
|
| 关 键 词： | 副热带高压 小波分解 模糊推理 集成预测 |
| 文章编号： | 1004-4965(2004)04-0419-07 |
| 收稿时间： | 1/9/2003 12:00:00 AM |
| 修稿时间： | 1/9/2003 12:00:00 AM |
A PREDICTION OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH BASED ON WAVELET DECOMPOSITION AND ANFIS MODEL |
| |
| DONG Zhao-jun and ZHANG Ren.A PREDICTION OF THE WESTERN PACIFIC SUBTROPICAL HIGH BASED ON WAVELET DECOMPOSITION AND ANFIS MODEL[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,2004,20(4):419-425. |
| |
| Authors: | DONG Zhao-jun and ZHANG Ren |
| |
| Institution: | Institute of Meteorology, PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 211101, China;Institute of Meteorology, PLA University of Science and Technology, Nanjing 211101, China |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on the data of NCEP/NCAR, the relationship between the ridge line of western pacific subtropical high and its prior state was discussed. The method, based on wavelet decomposition and ANFIS can effectively decrease the prediction difficulty and evid |
| |
| Keywords: | subtropical high wavelet decomposition fuzzy inference combining prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《热带气象学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
