人工降水方案统计设计的统计数值模拟方法研究

利用统计数值模拟方法，通过对各种试验统计方案的功效、准确度和 灵敏度的分析，选择适宜的统计方案、确定试验周期和选择影响效果评价各种因子的最 佳值。为人工降水方案统计设计提供可靠的科学依据。分析表明:在各种随机化试验中， 区域随机交叉试验的功效、准确度和灵敏度高于其他随机化试验；多因子分层回归分析 方案是一种功效、准确度和灵敏度均较高的非随机化试验方案。

Study on Statistic Numerical Simulation Method of Precept Statistic Design of Artificial Precipitation

By using of statistic numerical simulations, analysis of the effcacy, accuracy and sensitivity of several test statistic precept, a feasible statistic precept is chosen and the test cycle is ascertained The best value of all kinds of factors influencing the effect estimate are selected This provides reliable science data for precept statistic design of artificial precipitation The result indicates that the efficacy, accuracy and sensitivity of area randomization across test is greater than those of other randomization tests Multi-factorial delamination regression analysis precept is a non-randomization test precept, in which the efficacy, accuracy and sensitivity are greater