| 闽北烤烟移栽期的预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄廷炎,杨善恭,周博扬,魏入圣,江彩英,邱晓光.闽北烤烟移栽期的预报[J].广西气象,2010(1):57-59,62. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄廷炎 杨善恭 周博扬 魏入圣 江彩英 邱晓光 |
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| 作者单位： | 南平市气象局,福建南平353000 |
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| 摘 要： | 用对比分析和相关分析相结合的方法选取预报因子，分析得出移载日期与前期冷空气活动有关，且冷空气活动存在一定韵律关系。用逐步回归建立的预报方程效果好，且对移栽期特迟和特早有较好的预报能力。
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| 关 键 词： | 综合因子 “十月转折” 韵律 |
Forecast for Tobacco Transplanting date in the Northern Fujian Province |
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| Huang Tingyan,Yang Shangong,Zhou Boyang,Wei Rusheng,Jiang Caiying,Qiu Xiaoguang.Forecast for Tobacco Transplanting date in the Northern Fujian Province[J].Journal of Guangxi Meteorology,2010(1):57-59,62. |
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| Authors: | Huang Tingyan Yang Shangong Zhou Boyang Wei Rusheng Jiang Caiying Qiu Xiaoguang |
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| Institution: | (Nanping Meteorological Bereau,Fujian 353000) |
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| Abstract: | Selecting predictors using the method of comparative analysis and correlation analysis, the relationship between tobacco transplanting date and cold air activities were discussed. It shows that using stepwise regression method, the prediction equations establish good effects,especially in forecasting the special late or special early transplanting period. |
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| Keywords: | Comprehensive factor ＂October Transition＂ Regulation |
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