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近53a中国气温异常分布的非线性特征
引用本文:郭品文,徐同,居丽丽.近53a中国气温异常分布的非线性特征[J].南京气象学院学报,2009,32(1):11-16.
作者姓名:郭品文  徐同  居丽丽
作者单位:1. 南京信息工程大学,气象灾害省部共建教育部重点实验室,江苏,南京,210044
2. 中国气象局,上海台风研究所,上海,200030
3. 南汇区气象局,上海,201300
基金项目:江苏省"六大人才高峰"项目 
摘    要:运用一种基于神经网络的非线性主成分分析法(nonlinear principal component analysis,NLP-CA)对中国1951—2003年53 a四季气温距平场(surface air temperature anomaly,SATA)进行分析,NLPCA第一模态结果显示中国四季气温异常具有一定的非线性特征,并且具有显著的季节性差异,即春、夏两季的非线性较强,秋、冬两季较弱。一维NLPCA对原始气温距平场的近似比一维PCA(principal component analysis)更好地反映了气温场的实际分布情况。

关 键 词:气温  非线性  主成分分析  非线性主成分分析

Nonlinear Characteristics of Surface Air Temperature Anomalies over China in Recent 53 Years
GUO Pin-wen,XU Tong,JU Li-li.Nonlinear Characteristics of Surface Air Temperature Anomalies over China in Recent 53 Years[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,2009,32(1):11-16.
Authors:GUO Pin-wen  XU Tong  JU Li-li
Institution:1.Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of Ministry of Education;NUIST;Nanjing 210044;China;2.Shanghai Typhoon Institute;China Meteorological Administration;Shanghai 200030;3.Nanhui Meteorogical Bureau;Shanghai 201300;China
Abstract:Seasonal surface air temperature(SAT) anomalies over China from 1951 to 2003 is investigated by applying a neural-network-based nonlinear principal component analysis(NLPCA) method.The results of the first NLPCA mode show that the seasonal SAT anomalies have some nonlinear characters;its nonlinearity is stronger in spring(MAM) and summer(JJA),and weaker in autumn(SON) and winter(DJF).The SAT approximation by 1-D NLPCA is closer to the observations than that by 1-D PCA.
Keywords:temperature  nonlinearity  principal component analysis  NLPCA  
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