| 逐步门限自回归模型及其建模方案 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 曹杰,张万诚.逐步门限自回归模型及其建模方案[J].南京气象学院学报,1993,16(4):500-503. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 曹杰 张万诚 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 云南省红河洲气象局
(曹杰)，云南省红河洲气象局(张万诚) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 针对门限自回归模型在模型识别方面的不足，提出了逐步门限自回归模型，并同时给出了该模型的一种建模方案。数值实例表明，逐步门限自回归模型在模拟和预报稳定上比一般门限自回归模型有一定程度的提高。
|
| 关 键 词： | 逐步回归 门限自回归 气温预报 |
DESIGNING OF THE STEPWISE THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL |
| |
| Cao Jie Znang Wancheng.DESIGNING OF THE STEPWISE THRESHOLD AUTOREGRESSIVE MODEL[J].Journal of Nanjing Institute of Meteorology,1993,16(4):500-503. |
| |
| Authors: | Cao Jie Znang Wancheng |
| |
| Institution: | Honghe Prefecture Meteorogical Burea of Yunnan Province |
| |
| Abstract: | The designing of a stepwise threshold autoregressive model is presented in this paper to improve the ordinary threshold autoregressive model that is imperfect in recognition. Numerical experiments show that the designed model is better to some extent. |
| |
| Keywords: | stepwise threshold autoregression model-designing |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 等数据库收录！ |
