湖北省月雨量的相空间投影预报法

考虑到气候系统的非线性特性及有关变量之间的物理关系，应用相空间投影技术来制作月雨量预报。试验表明：该技术对月雨量距平百分率预报的符号相关准确率可达63．8％，对目前的日常长期预报有一定的参考意义。

Monthly Precipitation Forecasting Using Phase-Space Method

Considering that the atmosphere system is a very complex non linear system and the traditional statistical forecasting method often lays particular emphasis on pure statistical data processing without considering the physical and dynamic characteristics, the phase space method is proposed to make monthly precipitation forecasting. Experiment indicates that the relevant precision of monthly precipitation anomaly prediction using the method is up to 63 8%.