| 用相似释用方法制作小麦生育期逐旬气候预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 史印山,顾光芹.用相似释用方法制作小麦生育期逐旬气候预测[J].气象科技,2013,41(2):389-393. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 史印山 顾光芹 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 河北省气候中心,石家庄,050021 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 河北省科技厅重点研究项目"河北省小麦干旱灾害预估技术研究" |
| |
| 摘 要： | 利用气候模式产品、NCEP/NCAR再分析500 hPa旬平均高度资料和河北省冬小麦种植区各测站的逐句降水、气温资料.运用相似释用技术,研制了冬小麦返青—拔节、拔节—抽穗、抽穗—乳熟、乳熟—成熟4个生育期间逐旬气温、降水预测方法,建立了冬小麦各生育期干旱指标预测模型,并在预测业务中应用.预测检验结果表明,用模式产品解释应用方法制作逐旬气候预测是可行的.
|
| 关 键 词： | 释用方法 小麦生育期 旬气候预测 |
| 收稿时间： | 2011/11/14 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 6/5/2012 12:00:00 AM |
Similar Interpretation Method Used in Climate Prediction in Wheat Growing Season |
| |
| Shi Yinshan and Gu Guangqin.Similar Interpretation Method Used in Climate Prediction in Wheat Growing Season[J].Meteorological Science and Technology,2013,41(2):389-393. |
| |
| Authors: | Shi Yinshan and Gu Guangqin |
| |
| Institution: | Hebei Climate Chenter, Shijiazhuang 050021;Hebei Climate Chenter, Shijiazhuang 050021 |
| |
| Abstract: | A new interpretation method for making 10 day average temperature and precipitation prediction during different wheat growth stages is developed based on the predictions of a climate model, the NCEP/NCAP reanalysis data, and in site observations of temperature and precipitation. Meanwhile, a new drought prediction model is devised, which has been put into operation. The operational use shows that this model is practicable. |
| |
| Keywords: | interpretation method growing season wheat climate prediction |
| 本文献已被 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气象科技》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《气象科技》下载免费的PDF全文 |
|
