| AN IMPROVEMENT OF STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF TYPHOON TRACKS |
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| 作者姓名： | 金一鸣 钟元 |
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| 作者单位： | Provincial Inditute of Meteorological Sciences of Zhejiang, Hangzhou, 310021;Provincial Inditute of Meteorological Sciences of Zhejiang, Hangzhou, 310021 |
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| 基金项目： | Research project No. 85-960 |
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| 摘 要： | In this paper, a statistical interpretation composite forecast model for typhoon track is set up by using numerical forecast products and several forecast schemes. Tested in 1994 typhoon season, its forecastperformance is much better than that of a previous statistical forecast model. The test shows that it is aneffective method that sufficiently Anproves objective forecast of typhoon track using the numerical forecast output products obtained in forecast and adopting several schemes in composition.
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| 关 键 词： | typhoon track statistical forecast improvement |
| 收稿时间： | 1995/7/15 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1995/11/24 0:00:00 |
AN IMPROVEMENT OF STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF TYPHOON TRACKS |
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| Jin Yiming and Zhong Yuan.AN IMPROVEMENT OF STATISTICAL PREDICTION OF TYPHOON TRACKS[J].Journal of Tropical Meteorology,1997,3(2):152-158. |
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| Authors: | Jin Yiming and Zhong Yuan |
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| Institution: | Provincial Inditute of Meteorological Sciences of Zhejiang, Hangzhou, 310021;Provincial Inditute of Meteorological Sciences of Zhejiang, Hangzhou, 310021 |
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| Abstract: | In this paper, a statistical interpretation composite forecast model for typhoon track is set up by using numerical forecast products and several forecast schemes. Tested in 1994 typhoon season, its forecastperformance is much better than that of a previous statistical forecast model. The test shows that it is aneffective method that sufficiently Anproves objective forecast of typhoon track using the numerical forecast output products obtained in forecast and adopting several schemes in composition. |
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| Keywords: | typhoon track statistical forecast improvement |
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