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Analysis on the key findings related to emission trends and drivers from the IPCC AR6 report北大核心CSCD
引用本文:谭显春,戴瀚程,顾佰和,黄晨,朱开伟,马啸天,闫洪硕,刘心远,朱衍磊.Analysis on the key findings related to emission trends and drivers from the IPCC AR6 report北大核心CSCD[J].气候变化研究进展,2022(5):538-545.
作者姓名:谭显春  戴瀚程  顾佰和  黄晨  朱开伟  马啸天  闫洪硕  刘心远  朱衍磊
作者单位:1.中国科学院科技战略咨询研究院100190;2.北京大学环境科学与工程学院100871;3.中国科学院大学公共政策与管理学院100049;
基金项目:IPCC第六次评估报告中国作者专项(HT2021101010YE029001);国家自然科学基金重点项目(72140007)。
摘    要:"Emission Trends and Drivers" chapter, an important basis for international climate negotiations, is one of the core contents of each assessment report. The trends and driving factors of greenhouse gas emissions from 1990 to 2019 are discussed in this chapter in the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6) released in April 2022. Compared with the content in the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5), in terms of historical emission trends, AR6 focuses on the changes from 2010 to 2019, highlights the importance of the 1.5°C temperature control target, pays more attention to carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and non-carbon dioxide greenhouse gas emissions related to land use change, and further emphasizes the carbon emission trend and its regional evolution trend from the perspective of production and consumption. Besides, the short-term impact of COVID-19 on global carbon emissions is explored. In terms of driving factors, besides analyzing the global and regional economic driving factors, the economic driving factors and differences in energy, industry, construction, transportation, agriculture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU) sectors are also studied, which systematically reflects the similarities and differences of driving factors at the global, regional and departmental levels. The results affirm the positive impact of existing climate policies on climate mitigation highlight the benefits of technological change and innovation on climate mitigation, and identify the adverse impact of carbon locking of fossil energy infrastructure. Finally, based on the full analysis of the key conclusions in AR6, some suggestions on China's low-carbon development are given. © 2022 Chinese Journal of Digestive Endoscopy All rights reserved.

关 键 词:IPCC  AR6  减缓气候变化  历史排放趋势  驱动因素  气候变化
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