| 实施低碳水泥标准的影响及协同减排效果分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 庞军,石媛昌,冯相昭,刘嘉,孙文龙.实施低碳水泥标准的影响及协同减排效果分析[J].气候变化研究进展,2013,9(4):275-283. |
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| 作者姓名： | 庞军 石媛昌 冯相昭 刘嘉 孙文龙 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.中国人民大学环境学院，北京 100872；
2 中国农业大学理学院，北京 100083；
3 环保部环境与经济政策研究中心，北京 100029；
4 清华大学环境学院，北京100084 |
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| 摘 要： | 采用MAP-CGE模型，模拟了我国水泥行业实施低碳水泥标准对不同生产工艺产出、能耗及污染排放的影响，测算了对其边际减排成本和均衡价格的影响，分析了对不同污染物的协同减排效果。模拟结果表明：实施低碳水泥标准有利于水泥生产工艺的升级换代，并有助于水泥行业节能减排；在现有技术水平下，水泥行业在减排1 t CO2的同时将带来约1.17 kg的SO2减排量和4.44 kg的NOx减排量；实施低碳水泥标准对于水泥行业控制NOx排放很有利；但水泥行业也需承担减排成本并导致其均衡价格的小幅上升。
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| 关 键 词： | 低碳水泥标准 协同减排 MAP-CGE模型 |
| 收稿时间： | 2013-01-23 |
| 修稿时间： | 2013-03-12 |
Analysis on Impacts and Co-abatement Effects of Implementing the Low Carbon Cement Standard |
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| Pang Jun Shi Yuanchang Feng Xiangzhao Liu Jia Sun Wenlong.Analysis on Impacts and Co-abatement Effects of Implementing the Low Carbon Cement Standard[J].Advances in Climate Change,2013,9(4):275-283. |
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| Authors: | Pang Jun Shi Yuanchang Feng Xiangzhao Liu Jia Sun Wenlong |
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| Institution: | 1.School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin University of China, Beijing 100872, China;2.College of Science, China Agricultural University, Beijing 100083, China; 3.Policy Research Center for Environment and Economy, Ministry of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100029, China; 4.School of Environment, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the MAP-CGE model, this paper simulates the impacts on the output, energy consumption and pollutant emission of different cement production processes when implementing the low carbon cement standard in China, calculates the impacts on the marginal abatement cost and equilibrium price of cement industry, and analyzes the co-abatement effects of different pollutants. The results show that implementing the low carbon cement standard will be beneficial to promoting the upgrading of cement production process, and strengthening the energy conservation and emission reduction in the cement industry. When reducing every ton of CO2 emission, if the existing technology keeps unchanged, the cement industry will reduce SO2 emission by 1.17 kg and NOx emission by 4.44 kg at the same time. Implementing low carbon cement standard can also promote NOx abatement in the cement industry. However, the cement industry will bear the abatement costs, and their equilibrium price will increase to a small extent. |
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| Keywords: | low carbon cement standard co-abatement effects MAP-CGE model |
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