| 强震概率增大时段判定法TIP-M8在广东省及邻区的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 秦乃岗.强震概率增大时段判定法TIP-M8在广东省及邻区的应用[J].华南地震,2001,21(4):27-32. |
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| 作者姓名： | 秦乃岗 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东省地震局, |
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| 基金项目： | 广东省自然科学基金资助项目 (粤科基 [1997]2 3号 ) |
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| 摘 要： | 用强震概率增大时段判定法M8方法判断近年来广东省及邻区几个主要震区(粤闽赣地区、粤桂琼地区、珠江三角洲地区)的中期地震发展趋势,结果显示1997年5月福建永安5.2级地震,1999年5月海南5.1级地震,震前约1年半,地震所在区域均出现了强震概率增大时段.而珠江三角洲地区的计算结果未发现强震概率增大时段.
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| 关 键 词： | 中期预报 强震概率增长时段判定法(TIB-M8) 广东省及邻区 地震流函数 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-8662(2001)04-0027-06 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年7月9日 |
Application of Time of Increased Probability of Strong Earthquake Method (TIP-M8) in Guangdong and its neighboring area |
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| QING Nai-gang.Application of Time of Increased Probability of Strong Earthquake Method (TIP-M8) in Guangdong and its neighboring area[J].South China Journal of Seismology,2001,21(4):27-32. |
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| Authors: | QING Nai-gang |
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| Abstract: | Applied the Time of Increased Probability of Strong Earthquake Method (TIP-M8) to several seismic regions of Guangdong province after 1995.They are Yueguiqiong , Yuemingan and Pearl River Delta region. The results show that in Yuemingan and Yueguiqiong region, one year about before the earthquake M S5 2 occurred in Yongan (May, 1997) and the earthquake M S5 0 occurred Hainan (May, 1999), there is the time of increased probability of strong earthquake in each event. The time of increased probability of strong earthquake has not occurred in Pearl River Delta region from 1998 to 2001. |
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| Keywords: | Mid-term earthquake prediction Time of Increased Probability of Strong Earthquake Method (TIP-M8) Guang dong and its neighboring area earthquake flow function |
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