| 燕山-渤海地震带中强地震的分析研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 石玉燕,颜启,李振军,许萍,周翠英.燕山-渤海地震带中强地震的分析研究[J].华南地震,2006,26(2):61-65. |
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| 作者姓名： | 石玉燕 颜启 李振军 许萍 周翠英 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东省地震局,山东,济南,250014 |
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| 基金项目： | 本文使用的区带划分结果的选取工作得到山东省地震预报中心蒋海昆研究员和郑建常同志的帮助,在此表示感谢. |
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| 摘 要： | 分析了燕山-渤海地震带历史与现代地震活动特征,讨论了地震活动在时间、空间以及应变能积累等方面的演变过程.认为燕山-渤海带第四活动期持续时间不足,现处于后期能量剩余释放阶段中,发生7级以上地震的可能性不大,但不排除未来发生6级以上地震的可能,今后的中强地震可能仍在西段和中段的东部活动,下一次地震迁至中段东部的可能性较大.
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| 关 键 词： | 地震迁移 燕山-渤海带 历史地震 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-8662（2006）02-0061-05 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-02-22 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006年2月22日 |
Analysis and Study on Prediction of Medium-strong Earthquake in the Yanshan-Bohai Fault Zone |
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| SHI Yuyan, YAN Qi, LI Zhenjun, ZHOU Cuiying.Analysis and Study on Prediction of Medium-strong Earthquake in the Yanshan-Bohai Fault Zone[J].South China Journal of Seismology,2006,26(2):61-65. |
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| Authors: | SHI Yuyan YAN Qi LI Zhenjun ZHOU Cuiying |
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| Institution: | Earthquake Administration of Shandong Province, Jinan 250014, China |
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| Abstract: | The characteristic of history and modem earthquake activities in the Yanshan-Bohai fault zone is studied. We also discuss the temporal and dimensional characteristic of the earthquakes. The result shows that the possibility of earthquake with over M7 is not large, but the possibility of earthquakes with over M6 occurring in the future should not be eliminated. The location in which a medium-strong earthquake may occur will still be in the east of the western and middle parts of the fault zone. The possibility that the next earthquake migrates to the east of the middle part is much. |
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| Keywords: | Earthquake migration The Yanshan-Bohai fault zone History earthquakes |
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