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华东地区地震综合前兆信息量及其映震能力分析
引用本文:贾炯,平建军,刁桂苓,王梅德,于仁宝,王云云,苏新忠.华东地区地震综合前兆信息量及其映震能力分析[J].华北地震科学,2010,28(2):48-52.
作者姓名:贾炯  平建军  刁桂苓  王梅德  于仁宝  王云云  苏新忠
作者单位:1. 河北省地震局,河北,石家庄,050022
2. 河南许昌市地震局,河南,许昌,461000
基金项目:"十一五"国家科技支撑计划子专题 
摘    要:收集并整理华东地区定点前兆观测资料共计72项,逐一计算并提取它们各自的地震前兆信息量,在此基础上,合成计算得到该地区地震综合前兆信息量时序曲线,分析并计算5.0级以上地震预测效能,给出华东地区地震短期综合预测指标和方法。

关 键 词:前兆信息量  时序曲线  预测效能

Analysis of Earthquake Synthetic Information and Its Earthquake Reflecting Ability in East China Area
JIA Jiong,PING Jian-jun,DIAO Gui-ling,WANG Mei-de,YU Ren-bao,WANG Yun-yun,SU Xin-zhong.Analysis of Earthquake Synthetic Information and Its Earthquake Reflecting Ability in East China Area[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,2010,28(2):48-52.
Authors:JIA Jiong  PING Jian-jun  DIAO Gui-ling  WANG Mei-de  YU Ren-bao  WANG Yun-yun  SU Xin-zhong
Institution:1.Earthquake Administration of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050022,China;2.Earthquake Administration of Henan Province,Xuchang 461000,China)
Abstract:In this study,72 fixed precursor observation items in eastern China area are collected and processed.To each observation item,the earthquake information are calculated separately and combined into one earthquake synthetic information time series.By analyzing the predication efficacy of the time series to Ms≥5.0 earthquakes,this paper gives the short-term synthesis predication index and method to Ms≥5.0 earthquakes in eastern China.
Keywords:precursor information quantity  time series  prediction efficiency
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