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场地地震反应分析中的不确定性及其处理方法
引用本文:石玉成,蔡红卫,徐晖平.场地地震反应分析中的不确定性及其处理方法[J].西北地震学报,1999,21(3):242-247.
作者姓名:石玉成  蔡红卫  徐晖平
作者单位:中国地震局兰州地震研究所,甘肃,兰州,730000
基金项目:中国地震局兰州地震研究所青年地震科学基金
摘    要:系统地研究了场地地震反应分析中的不确定性及其产生的根源.利用蒙特卡洛法的有关理论,对影响场地地震反应分析结果的不确定性因素进行了估计与分析.实际应用结果表明,该方法是可行的,而且精度较高

关 键 词:地震反应分析  不确定性  蒙特卡洛法
收稿时间:1999/2/10 0:00:00
修稿时间:1999-02-10

UNCERTAINTIES IN SITE EARTHQUAKE RESPONSE AND THE WAY OF ITS PROCESSING
SHI Yu-cheng,CAI Hong-wei and XU Hui-ping.UNCERTAINTIES IN SITE EARTHQUAKE RESPONSE AND THE WAY OF ITS PROCESSING[J].Northwestern Seismological Journal,1999,21(3):242-247.
Authors:SHI Yu-cheng  CAI Hong-wei and XU Hui-ping
Institution:Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CSB, Lanzhou 730000, China,Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CSB, Lanzhou 730000, China and Lanzhou Institute of Seismology, CSB, Lanzhou 730000, China
Abstract:The uncertainties from current site earthquake response analysis are analyzed and a method for solving the uncertainties of system parameters by using the Monte Carlo simulated method is presented.Some results using the proposed method are given and the effect of parameter uncertainties on reliability of earthquake response analysis is discussed.It is suggested that to estimate the input parameters by means of shochastic theory is necessary.It has been proved that the proposed method is advantageous both in computing efficiency and precision.
Keywords:Seismic response analysis  Uncertainty  Monte Carlo simulated method  
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