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Character of geoelectric intermediate term precursory anomaly and judgment for intermediate term tendency of strong earthquake
作者姓名:王志贤  张学民  李永庆  李玉春  李洪流
作者单位:ZHI-XIAN WANG(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021,China) XUE-Ma ZHANG(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021,China) YONG-QmG LI(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021,China) YU-CHUN LI(Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021,China) HONG-LIU LISeismological Bureau of Hebei Province,Shijiazhuang 050021,China)
基金项目:Key Project for earthquake prediction;95-04-01-01-09;
摘    要:IntroductionEarthquakemonitoringandpredictionisstillatthestageofexplorationandempiricalprediction.Thebasisistheanomalyvariationconsistingofseismometryindexandtheobservedresultsusingtheprecursoryapproaches.Althoughthesevariationshowsvarietyandcomplexityanditsrelationwithearthquakesisnotcertain,throughcarefullystudyingonMs>7earthquakeswecanfindthattheanomalyvariationbeforeearthquakestillshowssteadyreappearanceandhasregularity.Theyareallrelativetotheseismogenicprocess.Inthispaperwefocusonstronge…

关 键 词:earth  resistivity  diffusion  speed  dynamic  distribution
收稿时间:22 June 1998
修稿时间:13 November 1998

Character of geoelectric intermediate term precursory anomaly and judgment for intermediate term tendency of strong earthquake
ZHI-XIAN WANG,XUE-MIN ZHANG,YONG-QING LI,YU-CHUN LI,HONG-LIU LI.Character of geoelectric intermediate term precursory anomaly and judgment for intermediate term tendency of strong earthquake[J].Acta Seismologica Sinica(English Edition),1999,12(2):207-214.
Authors:ZHI-XIAN WANG  XUE-MIN ZHANG  YONG-QING LI  YU-CHUN LI  HONG-LIU LI
Institution:Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050021, China
Abstract:Based on systematic processing to long-term geoelectric observation data, we mainly studied the character of earthresistivity tendency anomaly for MS>7.0 strong earthquakes and its relation with seismogenic process. The character of quick descending at early stage and then slow development with steady shape in geoelectricity is a basicfeature ofgeoelectric tendency anomaly for strong earthquake. Usually the ratio of average time between the earlyquick descend stage and the post slow development stage is about if4. In addition, for Tangshan Ms=7.8 andSongpan Ms=7.2 earthquake, we studied the diffusion character of the geoelectric tendency anomaly development.For Tangshan earthquake, we also studied the time-space-strength dynamic evolution character of its geoelectricprecursory information quantity. The results showed that diffusion velocity of geoelectric precursory tendencyanomaly for the two earthquakes is respectively 90 kmja and 100 km/a. The variation character of geoelectric tendency anomaly presents some indexes for judgment of strong earthquake tendency background and intermediateterm prediction.
Keywords:earth resistivity diffusion speed dynamic distribution
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