| 应用遗传算法研究新疆北天山地震带地震预报规则 |
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| 引用本文： | 李莹甄,龙海英.应用遗传算法研究新疆北天山地震带地震预报规则[J].内陆地震,2001,15(4):338-346. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李莹甄 龙海英 |
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| 作者单位： | 新疆维吾尔自治区地震局, |
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| 摘 要： | 依据遗传算法基本原理，选用5种地震学参数，对北天山地震西段（乌苏－精河地区）1970－1995年地震资料进行拟合迭代演化，提取该区具有不同适应度和层次结构的地震学参数预报规则集，以此对该区1996－2000年发生的地震作回顾性检验。结果表明，基于遗传算法建立的北天山地震预报规则，能对研究区未来一定时间的地震事件给与客观的判别和预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 遗传算法 地震预报规则 地震学参数 北天山地震带 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-8956(2001)04-0338-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年5月16日 |
STUDY ON EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RULE SET OFNORTH TIANSHAN SEISMIC ZONE BASED ONGENETIC ALGORITHMS IN XINJIANG |
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| LI Ying-zhen,LONG Hai-ying.STUDY ON EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RULE SET OFNORTH TIANSHAN SEISMIC ZONE BASED ONGENETIC ALGORITHMS IN XINJIANG[J].Inland Earthquake,2001,15(4):338-346. |
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| Authors: | LI Ying-zhen LONG Hai-ying |
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| Abstract: | According to the genetic algorithm principle, the seismicity data(1970-1995) of the west section of the North Tianshan seismic zone are fitted and iterated. Five seismicity parameters are selected out and the earthquake prediction rule set with different fitness and hierarchy is established. The earthquake predictions from 1996 to 2000 are retrospectively tested with the rule set. The results indicate that based on the rule set the objective judgement and prediction can be given to some future earthquake events in the research area. |
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| Keywords: | Genetic algorithm Earthquake prediction rule set Seismicity parameter North Tianshan seismic zone |
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