| 气象要素与云南震区最大震级的统计相关分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 王在华,徐国钧.气象要素与云南震区最大震级的统计相关分析[J].内陆地震,2002,16(3):235-243. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王在华 徐国钧 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 新疆维吾尔自治区地震局,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830011
2. 云南大学地球科学系,云南,昆明,650091 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据地震活动与气象要素之间的密切关系 ,采用大量气象资料选取预报因子 ,建立逐步回归方程 ,将数理统计理论应用于地震预报 ,对中国云南 5个地震分区分上、下半年做出了最大震级预报 ,其置信度达到特别显著水平
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| 关 键 词： | 气象奇点 预报因子 逐步回归 最大震级预报 云南震区 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-8956(2002)03-0235-09 |
| 修稿时间： | 2001年12月29 |
CORRELATIVE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF METEROLOGIC ELEMENTS AND THE MAXIMUM MAGNITUDES IN SEISMIC AREAS IN YUNNAN |
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| WANG Zai-hua ,XU Guo-jun.CORRELATIVE STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF METEROLOGIC ELEMENTS AND THE MAXIMUM MAGNITUDES IN SEISMIC AREAS IN YUNNAN[J].Inland Earthquake,2002,16(3):235-243. |
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| Authors: | WANG Zai-hua XU Guo-jun |
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| Institution: | WANG Zai-hua 1,XU Guo-jun 2 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the close relation between seismicity and meterologic elements, earthquake prediction factors were selected from abundance meterologic data and the regress equations were built. They were used to make predictions of the maximum magnitudes of 5 seismic areas in the first and the second half of 2001; the confidence levels were prominence. |
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| Keywords: | Meterologic singular point Prediction factor Stepwise regress Maximum magnitude prediction Seismic areas in Yunnan |
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