形变信息预报地震最佳方案的提取

在原来工作的基础上①②［７］，对拟合、滑动外推、聚类分析、模糊综合评判等各个环节做了适当的改进．同时，引入概率统计中的有关知识．选择一个相对最佳评判方案，用京、津、唐地区流动点短水准，短基线资料进行了地震预报的研究，为用形变资料经过评判统计进行地震预报提供了一种可能性。最后，以讨论的方式给出了应用实例．

OPTIMUM PROJECT IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION BY MEANS OF DEFORMATION INFORMATION

Based on the researches done before,the author made some proper modifications on the methods of fitting,glide extrapolation,cluster analysis and fuzzy integrated evaluation. Combined with probability statistical method,a relative optimum evaluation project was put forward,which we considered be a possible way for earthquake prediction by means of deformation data. Some actual examples were given in the form of discussion.