| 汶川地震序列动态跟踪与甘肃震情动态判定的预报实践感悟 |
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| 引用本文： | 杨国栋.汶川地震序列动态跟踪与甘肃震情动态判定的预报实践感悟[J].国际地震动态,2008(7). |
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| 作者姓名： | 杨国栋 |
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| 作者单位： | 甘肃省地震局,兰州,730000 |
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| 摘 要： | 在汶川地震序列的动态跟踪与甘肃震情的动态判定过程中,本文作者成功地把握了甘肃震情、一定程度上把握了汶川地震序列的动态发展变化,并对5月18日四川江油发生的6.0级地震作出了成功预测。这一预测实践使本文作者更加深刻地感悟到,地震预报虽然是一个十分复杂的没有被攻克的世界性难题,但对于一个特定的地区,如果预报思路和方法得当,要实现一次乃至数次成功的预报是可能的。这对地球科学家们如何认识地震预报问题有一定的意义。
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| 关 键 词： | 龙门山断裂带 汶川地震序列 动态跟踪 甘肃震情 动态判定 |
Thoughts on the Earthquake Prediction by Monitoring Wenchuan Earthquake Sequences in Gansu Province, China |
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| Yang Guodong.Thoughts on the Earthquake Prediction by Monitoring Wenchuan Earthquake Sequences in Gansu Province, China[J].Recent Developments in World Seismology,2008(7). |
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| Authors: | Yang Guodong |
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| Abstract: | In the process of tracing Wenchuan earthquake sequences and predicting earthquake tendency in Gansu,the earthquake regime in Gansu has been held in some degree,and a strong aftershock with M=6.0 of Wenchuan earthquake occurred on May 18 in Jiangyou are predicted successfully by author.It is shown that although the earthquake forecast is a very complicated scientific problem,in a particular region,it is possible to make a prediction by using methods properly. |
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| Keywords: | Longmenshan fault zone Wenchuan earthquake sequences Tracing earthquake activity in Gansu Province |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
