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多级模糊评判方法在地震预报中的某些应用
引用本文:陈化然,郭瑞芝.多级模糊评判方法在地震预报中的某些应用[J].地震研究,1999,22(3):217-220.
作者姓名:陈化然  郭瑞芝
作者单位:天津市地震局
摘    要:本在前人工作的基础上,把多级模糊评判方法应用到地震综合预报工作中。选取地震活动性和定点前兆共14个因子作为因素集合,建立综合评判矩阵和综合预报地震强度的评判模型,并应用于天津及邻近地区地震预报中。结果证明多级模糊评判方法在综合预报中有一定的应用前景。

关 键 词:多级模糊评判  综合预报  地震活动性  地震预报

SOME APPLICATIONS OF MULTI-FRACTRAL FUZZY EVALUATION METHOD TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION
Chen Huaran,Guo Ruizhi,Zheng Ximing.SOME APPLICATIONS OF MULTI-FRACTRAL FUZZY EVALUATION METHOD TO EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION[J].Journal of Seismological Research,1999,22(3):217-220.
Authors:Chen Huaran  Guo Ruizhi  Zheng Ximing
Abstract:Based on previous researches made by others, multi fractral fuzzy evaluation is applied to comprehensive earthquake prediction. We use the set of 14 factors including seismicity and the precursors in the fixed points to establish the comprehensive evaluation matrix and the evaluation model of comprehensive prediction of seismic magnitude and apply them to earthquake prediction in Tianjin and its neighboring areas. The results show that the method is of some prospects in comprehensive prediction.
Keywords:Multi  fractral fuzzy evaluation  comprehensive prediction  seismicity  precursor in the fixed points  seismic magnitude
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