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震源耦合的等效物理模型
引用本文:薄景山,廖振鹏.震源耦合的等效物理模型[J].地震工程与工程振动,1996,16(3):11-21.
作者姓名:薄景山  廖振鹏
作者单位:国家地震局工程力学研究所
摘    要:本文提出了考虑各潜在震源相互耦合的等效物理模型,系统地建立了通过拟合各潜在震源地震序列来确定不同时间段内活断层形速率的方法,给出了预报各潜在震源未来一定年限内发生震级在不同震级段的概率模型。

关 键 词:震源  等效物理模型  概率模型  地震模型

EQUIVALENT PHYSICAL MODEL OF THE COUPLING AMONG PSAS
Bo Jingshan, Liao Zenpeng.EQUIVALENT PHYSICAL MODEL OF THE COUPLING AMONG PSAS[J].Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration,1996,16(3):11-21.
Authors:Bo Jingshan  Liao Zenpeng
Abstract:s an amendment to the assumption of the Corned method that earthquakes happen independently in each PSA,an equivalent physical model is put forward in this paper.A method is established to get the deforming velocity of the active fault in a recurrence interval by a fit for the earthquake sequence in the PSA.The probability model is proposed to predict the probability of earthquakes in different magnitude segment in each PSA in a future period.
Keywords:Seismic source  Equivalent physical model  Probability model
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