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东北地区水稻冷害气候风险度和经济脆弱度及其分区研究
引用本文:马树庆,王琪,王春乙,霍治国.东北地区水稻冷害气候风险度和经济脆弱度及其分区研究[J].地理研究,2011,30(5):931-938.
作者姓名:马树庆  王琪  王春乙  霍治国
作者单位:1. 吉林省气象台, 长春 130062; 2. 吉林省气象科学研究所, 长春 130062; 3. 中国气象科学研究院, 北京 100081
基金项目:国家“十五”科技攻关项目(2004BA509B14); 国家“十一五”科技支撑项目(2006BAD04B02)
摘    要:应用历年气象、水稻产量资料和冷害指标,分析东北地区水稻低温冷害发生的温度条件、气候频率和风险概率,建立了水稻冷害气候风险度模式,将东北地区分成高、偏高、中等、较低和低风险5级水稻冷害气候风险度区.在气候风险性分析的基础上,考虑各地水稻冷害减产率、总产量和面积比例等经济损失因素,建立水稻生产对低温冷害反应的经济脆弱度模式...

关 键 词:水稻冷害  气候风险度  经济脆弱度  分区  东北地区
收稿时间:2010-06-03

Climate risk and economy vulnerability of rice chilling damage and division in Northeast China
MA Shu-qing,WANG Qi,WANG Chun-yi,HUO Zhi-guo.Climate risk and economy vulnerability of rice chilling damage and division in Northeast China[J].Geographical Research,2011,30(5):931-938.
Authors:MA Shu-qing  WANG Qi  WANG Chun-yi  HUO Zhi-guo
Institution:1. Meteorological Observatory of Jilin Province, Changchun 130062, China; 2. Meteorological Institute of Jilin Province, Changchun 130062, China; 3. Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, Beijing 100081, China
Abstract:Applying calendar weather,rice yield data and chilling injury index of Northeast China,this paper analyzed thermal condition,occurrence frequency and risk probability of rice chilling damage,and developed an evaluation model of the climate risk index of the damage.Thus,Northeast China region is divided into five types of rice climate risk areas of highest,higher,medium,lower and lowest levels.In climate risk analysis,based on considerations the rice cold damage cut rates,total output and the area ratio and ...
Keywords:rice chilling injury  climatic risk degree  economy vulnerability  division  Northeast China  
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