综合运用非线性回归和时间序列分析研究边坡变形

边坡变形的复杂性决定了运用非线性回归模型很难准确解决边坡变形规律。本文将讨论综合运用非线性回归模型和时间序列分析的方法进行变形预报。即运用非线性模型和其他模型的有机结合和综合运用正确分析和解决边坡变形规律,同时利用时间序列分析方法解决边坡周期性变形规律,并通过某实测边坡上一系列监测点监测资料的分析和研究,证明该方法的可行性。

Analytical study on slope deformation by applying nonlinear regression and time sequence

Because of complex deformation on slope, it is difficult to handle the regular pattern of deformation on slope by applying non linear regression model accurately. This article demonstrates that deformation forecast will be performed by a comprehensive method of non linear regression model combined with time series analysis. Namely, correct analysis and handling will be provided for the regular pattern of deformation on slope by applying non linear model and others, and periodically regular pattern of deformation on slope handled by using time series analysis method. In addition, the feasibility of this method will be verified through analysis and study on monitoring data for a series of observation points on a certain slope to be measured.