中国干旱的22年周期与太阳磁活动周 |
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引用本文: | 林学椿,于淑秋.中国干旱的22年周期与太阳磁活动周[J].应用气象学报,1987,2(1):43-50. |
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作者姓名: | 林学椿 于淑秋 |
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作者单位: | 1.气象科学研究院天气动力研究所
(林学椿),气象科学研究院天气动力研究所(于淑秋) |
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摘 要: | 本文根据《中国近五百年旱涝分布图集》的资料,通过谱分析和时序迭加分析发现:(1)全国普遍存在着22年左右的干旱周期,在30°—40°N 、105°E以东的长江和黄河流域之间表现得较为稳定。(2)太阳磁活动周对22年干旱周期影响很明显,其位相因地有所不同,一般在双周高值年后6—10年出现干旱极大值。(3)五十年一遇的特大干旱,绝大多数出现在双周高值年前后3—4年。
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Evidence of a 22-year Cycle of Drought in China Related to the Hale Solar Cycle |
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Institution: | (Institute of Weather Dynamics, AMS) |
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Abstract: | In this paper, by using spectral analysis and superposed-epoch analysis based on the data of “Yearly Charts of Dryness/Wetness in China for the Last 500 Years Period”, the evidence of 22-year cycle of drought in China related to the Hale solar cycle is studied and some facts are found as follows: ① The 22-year cycle of drought generally exists in the region to the east of 105oE in China, particularly in the regions between the Yangtze River and the Yellow River. ② The 22-year cycle of drought is closely related to the sunspot magnetic cycle and their phase angle varies from place to place. Drought usually reaches a maximum about 6—10 years after the peak year of the even numbered sunspot cycle. ③ The most severe drought in a 50-year cycle occurs about 3—4 years before or after the peak year of the even numbered sunspot cycle |
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