| 河北北部2005年前强震危险性预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 金学申.河北北部2005年前强震危险性预测研究[J].华北地震科学,1998,16(4):23-33. |
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| 作者姓名： | 金学申 |
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| 作者单位： | 河北省地震局!石家庄，050021 |
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| 摘 要： | 从信息论及贝叶斯模型出发，以长期异常背景为基础，近期异常为依据，在对未来十年Ｒ度的地震趋势进行估计的条件下，预测了河北北部２００５年前强震危险性，给出了区域内强震发生和各裂度概率的空间分布。
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| 关 键 词： | 河北 地震 危险性分析 信息系统 烈度评定 |
RESEARCH ON PREDICTION OF SEISMIC RISK IN NORTHERN PART OF HEBEI PROVINCE BEFORE 2005 |
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| Jin Xueshen.RESEARCH ON PREDICTION OF SEISMIC RISK IN NORTHERN PART OF HEBEI PROVINCE BEFORE 2005[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,1998,16(4):23-33. |
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| Authors: | Jin Xueshen |
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| Abstract: | From information theory and Bayesian model,the estimation for the seismic risk in northern part of hebei Province before 2005 has been shown based on the seismo structure as the long term seismic precursor and the recent seismic precursors in the condition of the estimation on the seismic tendency in the coming decade years. The special distribution of the probability of the occurrence of the strong earthquake and the intensities have been given also. |
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| Keywords: | Hebel Province seismic risk analysis information system intensity estimation |
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