A relation between extreme daily precipitation and extreme short term precipitation |
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| Authors: | Yanina L. Romero J. Bessembinder N. C. van de Giesen F. H. M. van de Ven |
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| Affiliation: | (1) Plant Research International, Wageningen University and Research Centre, P.O. Box 616, 6700 AP Wageningen, The Netherlands;(2) Alterra Wageningen University and Research Centre, P.O. Box 47, 6700 AP Wageningen, The Netherlands;(3) Livestock Research, Wageningen University and Research Centre, P.O. Box 65, 8200 AB Lelystad, The Netherlands |
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| Abstract: | The Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI) has published the KNMI’06 climate scenarios in 2006. These scenarios give the possible states of the climate in The Netherlands for the next century. Projections of changes in precipitation were made for a time scale of 1 day. The urban drainage sector is, however, more interested in projections on shorter time scales. Specifically, time scales of 1 h or less. The aim of this research is to provide projections of precipitation at these shorter time scales based on the available daily scenarios. This involves an analysis of climate variables and their relations to precipitation at different time scales. On the basis of this analysis, one can determine a numeric factor to translate daily projections into shorter time scale projections. |
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