| 月动力延伸预报产品在甘肃省的释用及评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 林纾,李维京,陈丽娟.月动力延伸预报产品在甘肃省的释用及评估[J].气象,2004,30(10):22-26. |
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| 作者姓名： | 林纾 李维京 陈丽娟 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 兰州中心气象台,730020
2. 国家气候中心 |
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| 基金项目： | 本文得到中国气象局预测减灾应用技术开发推广项目"T63月动力延伸预报解释应用技术面向省级短期气候预测业务的推广",甘肃省科技厅项目GS012-A45-118-05"干旱监测预测服务综合业务系统的升级研制"和甘肃省气象局青年科技基金的共同资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 把月动力延伸预报产品的释用方法应用在甘肃省 58个气象站点 ,将其实况回报试验结果与持续性预报和近 6～ 1 0年的业务评分进行对比 ,结果表明 ,动力释用方法预报准确率明显高于持续性预报 ,也高于业务评分。同时分析了 1月和 7月预测效果好与差的环流场特征以及甘肃省分片区域的预测评估。
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| 关 键 词： | 动力延伸预报 解释应用 评估 |
Explanation and Reanalysis and Appraise of Dynamical Extended Range Forecast Products in Gansu Province |
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| Lin Shu,Li Weijing,Chen Lijuan.Explanation and Reanalysis and Appraise of Dynamical Extended Range Forecast Products in Gansu Province[J].Meteorological Monthly,2004,30(10):22-26. |
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| Authors: | Lin Shu Li Weijing Chen Lijuan |
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| Institution: | Lin Shu1 Li Weijing2 Chen Lijuan2 |
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| Abstract: | The explanation and reanalysis and appraise method of dynamical extended range forecast products are used at 58 stations in Gansu Province. Comparison makes clear that the rate of accurate of explanation and reanalysis method of dynamical extended range forecast products is fairly higher for continued forecast and vocational work mark. Analysis of good/fault forecast of the circulation features in Jan. and Jul.,and forecast appraise in different areas of Gansu Province are made. |
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| Keywords: | dynamical extended range forecast explanation and reanalysis appraise |
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