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降水变化和人类活动对延河流域径流影响的定量评估
引用本文:邱临静,郑粉莉,尹润生,俞方圆.降水变化和人类活动对延河流域径流影响的定量评估[J].气候变化研究进展,2011,7(5):357-362.
作者姓名:邱临静  郑粉莉  尹润生  俞方圆
作者单位:1. 西北农林科技大学林学院;2. 中国科学院水利部水土保持研究所;3. ;4. 密歇根州立大学;5. 西北农林科技大学资源环境学院;
基金项目:科技部“973计划”项目(2007CB407201); 农业部“948”项目(2010-S16)
摘    要:利用Mann-Kendall突变检验法对延河流域1952—2008年降水量与甘谷驿站径流量进行分析,并以1952—1994年为基准期,定量分析1995—2008年降水变化和人类活动对径流的影响。结果表明:57年来延河流域正常降水发生概率达80.7%,径流年型以偏枯和枯水年为主;年降水量和径流量均呈减少趋势,突变分别发生在1995和2005年;与1952—1994年相比,1995—2008年的降水量和径流量较基准期分别减少11.1%和27.3%;降水变化和人类活动对径流减少的贡献率分别为46.2%和53.8%。

关 键 词:延河流域  径流  降水  人类活动  影响  Yanhe  River  basin  streamflow  precipitation  human  activities  impact

Quantification of Impacts of Precipitation Change and Human Activities on Streamflow in the Yanhe River Basin
Qiu Linjing,Zheng Fenli,Yin Runsheng,Yu Fangyuan.Quantification of Impacts of Precipitation Change and Human Activities on Streamflow in the Yanhe River Basin[J].Advances in Climate Change,2011,7(5):357-362.
Authors:Qiu Linjing    Zheng Fenli  Yin Runsheng  Yu Fangyuan
Institution:Qiu Linjing1,2,Zheng Fenli1,Yin Runsheng3,Yu Fangyuan4(1 College of Forestry,Northwest A&F University,Yangling 712100,2 State Key Laboratory of Soil Erosion and Dryland Farming in the Loess Plateau,Institute of Soil and Water Conservation,Chinese Academy of Sciences and Ministry of Water Resources,3 Department of Forestry,Michigan State University,East Lansing 48824,USA,4 College of Resources and Environment,Yangling 712100)
Abstract:Based on the observational precipitation and streamflow data in the Yanhe River basin during 1952-2008,the Mann-Kendall test was applied to investigate the trends of precipitation and streamflow.The effects of precipitation change and human activities on streamflow were quantified during the period of 1995-2008.The results indicate that the normal precipitation year accounted for 80.7 %,and most years were charactered by lower and low flow.Annual precipitation and streamflow both exhibited decreasing trends...
Keywords:Yanhe River basin  streamflow  precipitation  human activities  impact  
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