水资源复杂适应配置系统的理论与模型

在对水资源配置系统的复杂性及其复杂适应机理分析的基础上,应用复杂适应系统理论的基本原理和方法,构架出了全新的水资源配置系统分析模型,同时对系统的动力机制、主体行为特性和系统状态的评价方法进行了描述,形成了一个较为完整的研究体系,用于分析水资源配置系统的演化规律,并应用这种分析方法对南水北调工程对受水区水资源配置的影响进行了简要的研究。

Theory and Model of Water Resources Complex Adaptive Allocation System

Complex adaptive system theory is a new and important embranchment of system science, which provides a new thought to research water resources allocation system. Based on the analysis of complexity and complex adaptive mechanism of water resources allocation system, a fairly-new analysis model is presented in this paper. With the description of dynamical mechanism of system, behavior characters of agents and the evaluation method of system status, an integrated research system is built to analyse the evolvement rule of water resources allocation system. And a brief research of the impact of water resources allocation on beneficial regions of the Water Transfer Project from South China to North China is conducted.