| 基于来水保证率的三峡水库蓄水调度图研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 闵要武,张俊,邹红梅.基于来水保证率的三峡水库蓄水调度图研究[J].水文,2011,31(3):27-30. |
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| 作者姓名： | 闵要武 张俊 邹红梅 |
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| 作者单位： | 长江水利委员会水文局,湖北武汉,430010 |
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| 摘 要： | 提出基于保证率的三峡水库来水和下游需水计算方法;以旬为时间尺度,构建对蓄水不利的来水和下游需水的组合情景,得到基于来水保证率的三峡水库分阶段蓄水调度图。该调度图可充分考虑上下游防洪要求,基于不同来水和下游需水情景的保证率水平,并可结合中期水文气象预报应用实施,在调度实践中适度承担风险,兼顾综合效益发挥,具有可操作性和实用价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 三峡水库 蓄水调度图 保证率 |
Research on Impounding Schemes for the Three Gorges Reservoir Based on Inflow Guaranteed Frequency |
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| MIN Yaowu,ZHANG Jun,ZOU Hongmei.Research on Impounding Schemes for the Three Gorges Reservoir Based on Inflow Guaranteed Frequency[J].Hydrology,2011,31(3):27-30. |
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| Authors: | MIN Yaowu ZHANG Jun ZOU Hongmei |
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| Institution: | MIN Yaowu,ZHANG Jun,ZOU Hongmei(Bureau of Hydrology,Changjiang Water Resource Commission,Wuhan 430010,China) |
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| Abstract: | An algorithm for inflow and downstream water demand of the Three Gorges Reservoir was proposed based on guaranteed frequency.By setting up several adverse combination scenarios of inflow and downstream water demand,phased impounding schemes of the Three Gorges Reservoir was developed.The schemes can fully consider the upstream and downstream flood control requirements.Combined with the Medium-term hydro-meteorological forecasting and balance between flood control risk and comprehensive benefits,the schemes ... |
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| Keywords: | Three Gorges Reservoir reservoir impounding scheme guaranteed frequency |
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