| A Correction Method Suitable for Dynamical Seasonal Prediction |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈红 林朝晖 |
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| 作者单位： | International Centre for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国科学院知识创新工程项目，CAS International Partnership Project，Science Foundation of Tropical and Marine Meteorology |
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| 摘 要： | Based on the hindcast results of summer rainfall anomalies over China for the period 1981–2000 by the Dynamical Climate Prediction System (IAP-DCP) developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics, a correction method that can account for the dependence of model’s systematic biases on SST anomalies is proposed. It is shown that this correction method can improve the hindcast skill of the IAP-DCP for summer rainfall anomalies over China, especially in western China and southeast China, which may imply its potential application to real-time seasonal prediction.
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| 关 键 词： | 季节性预报 可持续发展 大气动力学 气象科学 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-05-24 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-11-14 |
A correction method suitable for Dynamical Seasonal Prediction |
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| Hong Chen,Zhaohui Lin.A Correction Method Suitable for Dynamical Seasonal Prediction[J].Advances in Atmospheric Sciences,2006,23(3):425-430. |
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| Authors: | Hong Chen Zhaohui Lin |
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| Institution: | International Centre for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029,International Centre for Climate and Environment Sciences, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100029 |
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| Abstract: | Based on the hindcast results of summer rainfall anomalies over China for the period 1981-2000 by the Dynamical Climate Prediction System (IAP-DCP) developed by the Institute of Atmospheric Physics,a correction method that can account for the dependence of model's systematic biases on SST anomalies is proposed. It is shown that this correction method can improve the hindcast skill of the IAP-DCP for summer rainfall anomalies over China, especially in western China and southeast China, which may imply its potential application to real-time seasonal prediction. |
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| Keywords: | correction method dynamical seasonal prediction summer rainfall anomaly |
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