| 地震频次的Hurst指数在地震预报中的应用 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 郭德科.地震频次的Hurst指数在地震预报中的应用[J].华北地震科学,2002,20(3):44-50. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 郭德科 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 濮阳市地震台,河南,濮阳,457000 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 引用Hurst指数，对华北地区18次中强地震前地震活动频次的Hurst指数进行了分析和研究，总结出了中强地震前地震活动频次的Hurst指数H值的异常主化特征，同时，把该方法应用到了河南及邻区中等地震预报研究中，制定了预报规则，进行了预测内符检验和预报评分，结果表明，该方法是一种有效的中短期地震预报方法，具有推广应用价值。
|
| 关 键 词： | 地震活动频次 Hurst指数 地震预报 河南 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-1375(2002)03-0044-07 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年3月20日 |
Application of Hurst index of earthquake frequency in the prediction of earthquake |
| |
| GUO De,ke.Application of Hurst index of earthquake frequency in the prediction of earthquake[J].North China Earthquake Sciences,2002,20(3):44-50. |
| |
| Authors: | GUO De ke |
| |
| Abstract: | the Hurst index of earthquake frequency before 18 medium and strong earthquakes in north China is analysed.The characteristic of H value for the Hurst index of earthquake frequency before medium and strong earthquakes is summarised.The method has been used in earthquake prediction of Henan Province and its adjacent area,and the regulation for prediction is also established.After test with inner coincidence and prediction scoring,we find it is an effective method for medium term and short term prediction. |
| |
| Keywords: | earthquake frequency Hurst index earthquake prediction Henan |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
