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Short-term Earthquake Prediction in the Sichuan-Yunnan Region Using the Method of Modulated Earthquakes
Authors:Wang Cuizhi  Cao Jingquan  Guo Hongli  Zhang Lei  Xue Na
Affiliation:Wang Cuizhi,Cao Jingquan,Guo Hongli,Zhang Lei,and Xue Na Earthquake Administration of Tianjin Municipality,Tianjin 300201,China
Abstract:By scanning modulated or un-modulated earthquakes spatio-temporally in the region of Sichuan-Yunnan,short-term non-stationary seismic precursory patterns were extracted with significant difference and the characteristic of non-stationary short-term seismic anomalies were analyzed as well as prediction efficiency of modulated small earthquakes before a strong earthquake. Besides,small earthquake modulation ratios near the region of the epicenter were calculated and sorted by time. The results indicated that ...
Keywords:Modulated earthquake  Non-steady-state  Modulation ratio  Short-term earthquake prediction  
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