地球系统动力学模式和模拟研究的进展

概述地球系统动力学模式的由来及国内外目前的研究和模拟进展。地球系统动力学模式是描述全球气候以及生态和环境系统的整体耦合演变的数学表达。利用他作大规模数值模拟，以便认识和预测全球和区域的气候和生态环境变化，有效应对防灾减灾和规划可持续发展等。目前国内外尚未完全研制出可供实用的地球系统模式，还须二三年时间。

Recent Progress on the Earth System Dynamical Model and Its Numerical Simulations

This paper briefly describes the initiative of the earth system dynamic model,recent international and domestic progress on the model development and its numerical simulations.As the mathematical representation of the integrated evolution of coupled climate,ecosystem and environmental system,earth system dynamical model can be applied for the long-term simulation in order for the understanding and prediction of climate and environmental change from global to regional scale,hence for the disaster prevention ...