| 新疆单站气温短时预报的气候统计方法试验 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 陈春艳,李如琦,唐冶,赵战成.新疆单站气温短时预报的气候统计方法试验[J].新疆气象,2007,1(1):24-26. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 陈春艳 李如琦 唐冶 赵战成 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 新疆气象台 新疆乌鲁木齐830002(陈春艳，李如琦，唐冶)，巴州气象局 新疆库尔勒841000(赵战成) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 以塔城站为例在分析单站气温日变化基本特征的基础上,就云量、风向风速等对气温变化的影响进行了分级,统计了各月2～6h的分类气温平均变量,探讨采用分类气温平均变量制作6～12h短时气温的客观统计预报方法,经检验和试用效果较好。
|
| 关 键 词： | 气温 短时预报 客观预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1002-0799（2007）00-0024-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-09-11 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-09-11 |
Climatic Statistical Methods Test of Single Station Temperature Nowcasting in Xinjiang |
| |
| CHEN Chun-yan,LI Ru-qi,TANG Ye,ZHAO Zhan-cheng.Climatic Statistical Methods Test of Single Station Temperature Nowcasting in Xinjiang[J].Bimonthly of Xinjiang Meteorology,2007,1(1):24-26. |
| |
| Authors: | CHEN Chun-yan LI Ru-qi TANG Ye ZHAO Zhan-cheng |
| |
| Institution: | 1.Xinjiang Meteorological Observatory, Urumqi 830002, China;2.Bayangoleng Mongolia Autonomcus Prefecture Meteorological Bureau, Korle 841000, China |
| |
| Abstract: | Based on analysis the character of station temperature daily variation,the effect of cloudiness,wind direction,wind velocity on temperature change is graded,the assoeted average temperature variable from 2 to 6 hours in each month is statisticsed,and discuss the impersonal statistical forecast method of 6-12 hours temperature nowcasting using assoeted average temperature variable.This method is preferably in probation. |
| |
| Keywords: | temperature nowcasting impersonal forecasting |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
