基于层次分析法和模糊评判法的西藏国家气象公园评价研究

本研究依据中国气象局发布的国家气象公园评价指标体系充分考虑高原文化特色,采用层次分析法(AHP)构建了适用于高原的气象公园评价体系。结果表明:在准则层中,天气景观>人文气象景观>环境保护>科学性,权重值分别为45.94%、32.48%、14.91%、6.67%,在因子层中,稀有度>人文价值>气候特征>科学性,权重值依次为25.80%、17.20%、9.70%、5.00%。在此基础上,对纳木措、羊卓雍措、玛旁雍措进行模糊综合评价分析表明,纳木措各因素综合评价为优,羊卓雍措各因素综合评价为良,玛旁雍措各因素综合评价为良。因此,在经济条件有限的基础上,认为纳木措建设成为国家气象公园是最优选择。本研究结果可为环境规划等相关部门和行业提供决策参考。

Evaluation of Tibet national meteorological parks based on AHP-fuzzy method

In this study, based on the national meteorological park evaluation index system issued by China Meteorological Administration, the hierarchical analysis method(AHP) was used to construct a meteorological park evaluation system applicable to the plateau under full consideration of the cultural characteristics of the plateau.The results showed that in the criterion layer, weather landscape>human meteorological landscape>environmental protection>scientific, the weight values are 45.94%, 32.48%, 14.91%, and 6.67% respectively.In the factor layer, rarity>human value>climate characteristics>scientificity, the weight values are 25.80%, 17.20%, 9.70% and 5.00% respectively.On this basis, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation analysis of Namco, Yamzho Yumco and Mansarovar show that the comprehensive evaluation of all factors in Namco is excellent, that in Yamzho Yumco is good, and that in Mansarovar is also good.Therefore, based on limited economic conditions, it is considered that it is the best choice to have Namco developed into a national meteorological park.The results of this study can provide decision-making reference for environmental planning and other related departments and industries.