| 航空气象条件的三维联合概率预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 张军,陈启槐. 航空气象条件的三维联合概率预报[J]. 气象科学, 1998, 0(2) |
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| 作者姓名： | 张军 陈启槐 |
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| 作者单位： | 南京空军气象学院!南京211101 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文在“正态化转换”技术的基础上．利用机场地面信息化观测资料，采用Gringorten的计算方案，对佛山机场的能见度、云量、云底高进行了三维联合概率预报。其主要结论如下：三维概率预报的准确性比较高，其预报方案在实际的业务中是可行的。
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| 关 键 词： | 航空气象条件 概率预报 等效正态偏差（END） |
THE PROBABILITY FORECAST OF FUSHAN'S AVIATION METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS |
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| Zhang Jun,Chen Qihuai. THE PROBABILITY FORECAST OF FUSHAN'S AVIATION METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS[J]. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences, 1998, 0(2) |
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| Authors: | Zhang Jun Chen Qihuai |
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| Abstract: | On the basis of technical of Equivalent Normal Deviate(END), the probabilityforecast of visibility, cover of cloud and cloud base height is made with the use of Fushan surface weather observation data applying the Gringorten scheme. The results show that the accuracy of forecast is appropriate, and the scheme of forecast is feasible in the operationalpred iction. |
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| Keywords: | Aviation Meteorological Conditions Probability Forecast |
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