| 一次登陆湛江台风风暴潮数值预报 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 李岩,沙文钰,杨支中,朱首贤.一次登陆湛江台风风暴潮数值预报[J].海洋预报,2006,23(1):27-32. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 李岩 沙文钰 杨支中 朱首贤 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 解放军理工大学气象学院,江苏,南京,211101 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 本文对2002年8月在湛江附近登陆的0214号强热带风暴(黄蜂)进行了风暴潮实时预报。根据中央气象台预报的热带气旋强度和位置,采用数值模式,在该热带气旋由北上加强到登陆减弱的整个过程中,进行了三次实时预报,分别为18日20时、19日08时和19日 17时。预报结果表明本数值模式具有良好的预报功能,并指出其风暴潮预报时效和精度在很大程度上取决于热带气旋气象预报的时效和精度。
|
| 关 键 词： | 湛江 风暴潮 数值预报 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-0239(2006)1-0027-06 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-03-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-11-08 |
NUMERICAL PREDICTION OF THE STORM SURGE IN ZHANJIANG HARBOR |
| |
| LI Yan,SHA Wen-yu,YANG Zhi-zhong,ZHU Shou-xian.NUMERICAL PREDICTION OF THE STORM SURGE IN ZHANJIANG HARBOR[J].Marine Forecasts,2006,23(1):27-32. |
| |
| Authors: | LI Yan SHA Wen-yu YANG Zhi-zhong ZHU Shou-xian |
| |
| Institution: | Institute of Meteorology, PLAUST, Nanjing 211101 |
| |
| Abstract: | The real-time numerical forecasts of the storm surge, caused by typhoon No. 0214, have been maken in Zhanjiang during August 2002. Based on the typhoon intensity and location forecast by Central Observatory, we have done three times storm surge forecasts in the course of the typhoon moving from strengthening northward to weakening landing. The results of forecast experiments show that the numerical model have fine forecast function, and that period of validity and accuracy of storm surge forecast depend on those of typhoon parameter prediction to a great extent. |
| |
| Keywords: | Zhanjiang storm surge numerical forecast |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
|
