| 长江中下游夏季特大旱涝预测研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李永康,陈方维,马开玉,陆菊中.长江中下游夏季特大旱涝预测研究[J].水科学进展,2000,11(3):266-271. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李永康 陈方维 马开玉 陆菊中 |
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| 作者单位： | 1.南京大学大气科学系, 江苏南京210093; |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1951～1995年的资料,分析了长江中下游梅雨期(6～7月)和夏季(6～8月)旱涝的一般特征.在此基础上着重研究了大涝(旱)和特大涝(旱)年前期大气环流的各种因子的特征,进而确定可供预测旱涝趋势的若干环流因子.
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| 关 键 词： | 长江中下游 特大旱涝 预测研究 |
| 收稿时间： | 1999-05-19 |
A Study on the Prediction ofExtraordinary Drought and Flood Events over the Middle and Lower Yangtze River |
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| LI Yong-kang,MA Kai-yu,LU Ju-zhong,CHEN Fang-wei.A Study on the Prediction ofExtraordinary Drought and Flood Events over the Middle and Lower Yangtze River[J].Advances in Water Science,2000,11(3):266-271. |
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| Authors: | LI Yong-kang MA Kai-yu LU Ju-zhong CHEN Fang-wei |
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| Institution: | 1.Depart. of Atmospheric Sciences, Nanjing University, Nanjig 210093 China;2.Hohia University, Nanjing 210098, China |
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| Abstract: | This paper analyzes the drought and flood events during Meiyu and summer over the middle and lower Yangtze River.Based on theseanalyses,we study the atmospheric circulation in earlier stage of the drought and flood,and identify predictable the factors lastly.A conception modelis developed,which is of great importanceto predict the extraordinary drought andflood events. |
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| Keywords: | the middleand lower Yangtze River extraordinary drought and flood predict study |
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