区域土地利用变化驱动力的成因分析

土地利用变化是全球变化研究的核心与热点问题，驱动力研究则是土地利用变化研究的难点。目前在驱动力研究方法上还存在过多依赖数学分析方法的趋向。该文从现代土地利用变化概念出发，提出成因分析概念，认为驱动力的反演具有复杂性与多样性的特点，在驱动机理研究中必须借助层次分析法，鉴别引发变化的直接原因，并对土地利用变化原因—表象间的关系进行剖析。

Discussion on the Driving Force of Regional Land Use Change

Land use change is the starting point for the study of natural and human relations to global changes.Recently,the study on driving force of regional land use change,based on multivariate statistical analysis,has received more and more attention in the world.However,according to recent research papers,there is a strong tendency to overleap using mathematics analysis in the study of driving forces.From the perspective of modern land use change,the cause analysis of cause-to-over relationship of driving force in land use change is put forward in this paper.It is difficult to simulate the processes of land use changes sometimes.However,hierarchy analysis is useful tool to track the sole and major underlying causes of land use change.Finally,the paper also gives a detailed discussion on the driving mechanism of socio-economic factors in land use change.